# AI Predictions
> Evidence-led analysis of artificial intelligence forecasts, prediction track records and technology adoption timelines.

## Core research
- [Who Predicted AI Best?](https://www.aipredictions.com/who-predicted-ai-best/): Turing, Kurzweil, Legg, Sutskever and Riccoboni compared across chronology, mechanism and commercial foresight.
- [AI Predictions 2026–2036](https://www.aipredictions.com/ai-predictions-2026-2036/): AGI timelines, autonomous agents, multi-agent safety and shared constitutional norms.
- [Failed AI Predictions](https://www.aipredictions.com/failed-ai-predictions/): Why AI forecasts repeatedly arrive late, from Dartmouth and machine translation to Watson Health and self-driving cars.
- [When Will Self-Driving Cars Be Mainstream?](https://www.aipredictions.com/when-will-self-driving-cars-be-mainstream/): 2026–2035 forecast for Level 4 robotaxis, autonomous trucks, Level 5 and regulation.

## Data
- [Forecaster data](https://www.aipredictions.com/forecasters.json)
- [2026–2036 forecast data](https://www.aipredictions.com/predictions-2026-2036.json)
- [Failed prediction data](https://www.aipredictions.com/failed-ai-predictions.json)
- [Autonomous vehicle forecast data](https://www.aipredictions.com/autonomous-vehicle-forecast.json)

## Editorial
- [Methodology](https://www.aipredictions.com/methodology/)
- [About](https://www.aipredictions.com/about/)